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For Arizona and Nevada, all else being equal (again…

For Arizona and Nevada, all else being equal (again...

For Arizona and Nevada, all else being equal (again, a big assumption), and assuming no new ballots (another assumption), my estimated final results right now are Biden wins Arizona with 50.69% to Trump’s 49.31% and Nevada with 50.45% to Trump’s 49.55%.

That said, the Trump campaign believes the late ballots cast by Independents are favoring him in both states, and they’re banking on the “all else being equal part” changing to a more favorable distribution.

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