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On the topic of Biden’s big lead in polls…

On the topic of Biden's big lead in polls...

On the topic of Biden’s big lead in polls, in an earlier post I showed that while the USC daily tracker had Biden up by 10 points, they still quietly predicted a Trump victory in the electoral college.

Now IBD, which has Biden up by 7 points, also states what is obvious to those who read past the “Biden 51 – Trump 44” headline.

The reality is IBD now too admits that Biden’s advantage comes from extreme left sentiment in blue states where presidential elections are not won, and that Biden and Trump are in a statistical tie where it matters most, in swing states.

And that is before you account for sampling errors, questionnaire formats, confirmation biases, non-responsiveness, and outright deceit.


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