methylated.net

Electoral Map for 10/30/20, including STE.

Nevada switches to Trump.

I’m not going to describe too much what’s been happening since if you’ve been following my barrage of posts, you should all know. Hunter and his underage niece are incestuously in love, Joe is implicated in Hunter’s business, the Biden family is under criminal investigation, and Trump has been relentlessly hammering Biden on all fronts.

I do believe that per early voting data, Trump is also ahead in Michigan and Wisconsin. But as my model only takes polls into account, I’ve left those blue. If between now and election day more polls post, and the map changes, I’ll post the update. If not, the last map may deviate from the model and take into account early voting data to give my true sense of the map.

Finally, as for New Mexico and Colorado, they’re not conducting reliably frequent polls there, if any, but early voting data shows republicans and rural counties outperforming democrats and urban counties, and Gary Johnson helped Hillary last time, so I don’t know. I can’t say.

Previous map.

https://www.methylated.net/2020/10/19/electoral-map-for-10-19-20-including-ste/

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Democrats have almost given up the advantage in Arizona.

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Overflow crowd in Minnesota. The governor limited the event to 250 people, so the rest waited outside. Trump still paid them a visit.

Trump shows up for the overflow crowd.

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U.S. Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, and U.S. Senate Committee on Finance find Hunter Biden, Biden family, and associates potentially did criminal business with foreign nationals involved in criminal activities, including but not limited to organized prostitution and/or human trafficking, money laundering, fraud, and embezzlement, while Joe Biden was Vice President.

Senate report.

https://www.hsgac.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/HSGAC_Finance_Report_FINAL.pdf

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Requests to board up businesses rise in preparation for the election. Might be a good idea to stock up on groceries over the weekend. It’s going to be wild.

I’d also recommend stocking up on ammo, but it’s all sold out.

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Social Justice, pretty much. Even the cops have bantz.

“I DEMAND A FEMALE OFFICER NOW!”
“How do you know that they don’t identify as female?”
“WHAT??”
“You are assuming those officers’ genders.”

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Twitter analytics for an average tweet for me. That’s where I do my more deplorable work to a larger more targeted audience.

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On the topic of Biden’s big lead in polls, in an earlier post I showed that while the USC daily tracker had Biden up by 10 points, they still quietly predicted a Trump victory in the electoral college.

https://www.methylated.net/2020/10/27/the-usc-dornsife-daily-tracking-poll-which-has-biden/

Now IBD, which has Biden up by 7 points, also states what is obvious to those who read past the “Biden 51 – Trump 44” headline.

The reality is IBD now too admits that Biden’s advantage comes from extreme left sentiment in blue states where presidential elections are not won, and that Biden and Trump are in a statistical tie where it matters most, in swing states.

And that is before you account for sampling errors, questionnaire formats, confirmation biases, non-responsiveness, and outright deceit.

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Trump just locked down Wisconsin.

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