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Wisconsin and Michigan will both need to be contested and recounted, not only because of the late 100K+ ballot drops coming from counties with approximate 60% Biden / 40% Trump distributions that went 100% to Biden, but also especially for Wisconsin because of it’s record 87% turnout (higher in some counties), when the average for all states in this election was 68.3%, and when the turnout for other swing states in this election ranged between 66% (GA) and 78% (NH).

I would also contest and recount Minnesota for similar reasons as Wisconsin, but they were more sophisticated (more experienced?) about making it not obvious, so I’d lose that contest.

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For Arizona and Nevada, all else being equal (again, a big assumption), and assuming no new ballots (another assumption), my estimated final results right now are Biden wins Arizona with 50.69% to Trump’s 49.31% and Nevada with 50.45% to Trump’s 49.55%.

That said, the Trump campaign believes the late ballots cast by Independents are favoring him in both states, and they’re banking on the “all else being equal part” changing to a more favorable distribution.

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All else being equal (a big assumption), and also assuming a bunch of additional ballots aren’t found under a seat cushion somewhere (another big assumption), my estimated final result for Pennsylvania right now is Trump wins the state with 50.06% to Biden’s 49.94%.

If the Supreme Court does not step in, Pennsylvania will “discover” more ballots. Post office rubber stamps are a dime a dozen and are easily procured.

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Biden will need 87% of these ballots to win Georgia.

If it wasn’t Georgia, he might have gotten 100%.

(Nevermind, they already “discovered” tens of thousands more).

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Buying and selling ballots sounds like a lucrative business. Maybe I should get into it.

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The never ending supply of mail-in ballots.

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Illustrated with dollars, a tale of two candidates, in three parts.

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Cute.

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