Walker vs. Warnock in Georgia. Fulton was fine this time, but that’s the ballot drop from DeKalb. They’re getting better at hiding it, there’s no denying that, but it’s still evident.
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The states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania represent 44 electoral college votes. Control of governorships was necessary to enact election reform in those states. That’s now dead in the water. As a result, election shenanigans in those states will only get worse.
If Kari Lake and Joe Lombardo squeeze out wins in Arizona and Nevada and enact election reform in those states, that only represents 17 electoral college votes.
Republican Herschel Walker heads to a run-off in the Georgia Senate race.
Republican Ron Johnson wins the Wisconsin Senate race.
All the conservatives fleeing to Florida might not have been the smartest of moves.
Polls all indicated that Independents preferred Republicans over Democrats this election cycle, but that ended up not being the case.
Independents went for Fetterman over Oz, 57% to 39%.
The last time there was a Senate race in Pennsylvania during a midterm in 2018, the Republican, Lou Barletta, picked up 42.6% in a contest of 5 million total votes. This time, in 2022, the Republican, Mehmet Oz, picked up 47.5% in a contest of 5.1 million votes.
Trump, in a presidential year, picked up 48.2% in 2016 against Hillary, and 48.8% against Biden in 2020.
All things considered, Oz at 47.5%, 4.9 points above Barletta at 42.6%, and only 0.7 points below Trump at 48.2%, actually did well, and might have won in a presidential year with Trump or if Mastriano wasn’t on the same ticket. Our expectations were just too high.
Pennsylvania is still out of consistent GOP reach.
Republican Mehmet Oz loses the Pennsylvania Senate race.
Republican Tudor Dixon loses the Michigan gubernatorial race.